Tracker Update: Warren Gaining Momentum Heading into Debates

Elizabeth Warren is in the midst of a full-on surge, and what's most interesting about this is that it's not simply an announcement bubble as we've seen with Biden, Sanders, Harris, Buttigieg, and O'Rourke.  On the contrary, her announcement fell flat, coming on the heels of her DNA test gaffe.  But here in June her numbers are on the rise.  Possible reasons?  She's strategically released a barrage of solid policy proposals throughout the spring.  We've also heard that she's invested much of her early campaign cash into building a strong on-the-ground organization, likely before others have gotten theirs fully off the ground.  Whatever the cause, Warren is currently reaping the dividends, and it is great timing heading into the much-anticipated first Democratic debate later this month.  To the numbers:

Warren's gains have come across the board, with increasing polling numbers both nationally and in early states.  The percentage of people considering her in the weekly YouGov/Economist polling has steadily risen over the past month.  The Washington Post today awarded her a co-top ranking alongside Biden, while bettors are falling over themselves to buy her stock this week.

Meanwhile it's worth noting that Stacey Abrams' window of consideration as a possible candidate is on life support.  She obviously won't be in the first round of debates, and it's hard to see how she makes up so much ground if she were to join the fray this summer.  The WaPo pundits haven't given up on her yet, keeping her in their top 15 rankings.  We'll see.

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